2012 Jitters:


Schumann Resonance Changing


One of the “2012” concerns is that the Schumann Resonance is significantly changing from its 7.8 Hz fundamental.


This frequency is a function of the circumference of earth, the electrical properties and circumference of the ionosphere, and the speed of  light. Although the earth circumference and speed of light are constant, the electrical properties and height (circumference) of the ionosphere are constantly changing, which would result in a change in the Schumann Resonance. http://www.valdostamuseum.org/hamsmith/Schumann.html .  The primary driver of any change is a long term change in solar characteristics. There is some controversy as to whether there is now a long term change underway. 


Concerns of the Sun showing signs of near term instability


Hype on 2012




Planetophysical State of the Earth and Life: 1998

Proposes rising energy level in solar system will cause challenges to civilization





DR. ALEXEY N. DMITRIEV*: Who is this person?





Climate change on other planets (appears to be legitimate):








from website “Above Top Secret”

Author quotes from paid website:

quiescent sun prior to burst”

“Against the understanding of the mega solar sun spot cycle, and its importance to ancient history, and modern secret societies, the variations of the carbon 14 ratio point to a need for very careful attention to the current rates of discharge of the sun. There are some earth sciences evidence for a period of quiescence within solar activity *just* prior to the *energetic burst*. As may be noted, the sun is currently in such a period of quiescence. The levels of solar activity in terms of energetic output have never, in human history of measurement, been lower. Hmmmmm....probably NOT a good sign.”


“Above Top Secret” Author:

Solar flare activity causes disasters on earth
Solar Coronal discharges  cause C14 
C14 increases dramatically every 11,000 years, which were times of solar cataclysms





Pretty scary, but now lets look at the data websites:



The NASA site shows sunspot cycles since 1850:

(click on the 2000-2010 cycles)

This data does not show 2004 as being a sunspot maximum. This may have to do with how sunspot numbers are calculated.

Note also that there is some irregularity in the data over the history of the records from 1850.

This data also shows increased sunspot activity in 2010, as predicted.





In a document dated April 1 2009 NASA notes a deep solar minimum: 
In 2008, the sun set the following records:
A 50-year low in solar wind pressure:
A 12-year low in solar "irradiance":
A 55-year low in solar radio emissions:

"Since the Space Age began in the 1950s, solar activity has been generally high," notes Hathaway. "Five of the ten most intense solar cycles on record have occurred in the last 50 years. We're just not used to this kind of deep calm."

Deep calm was fairly common a hundred years ago. The solar minima of 1901 and 1913, for instance, were even longer than the one we're experiencing now. To match those minima in terms of depth and longevity, the current minimum will have to last at least another year.

Pesnell believes sunspot counts will pick up again soon, "possibly by the end of the year," to be followed by a solar maximum of below-average intensity in 2012 or 2013.
Sunspots, if intense enough, may produce solar flares 
This site shows sunspot number for march 18 is 28
Spotless Days:
Current Stretch: 0 days
2010 total: 6 days (8%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
Since 2004: 776 days
Above Top Secret author writes that Solar flare activity causes disasters on earth, and we have had some. 
In contrast he also worries about solar quiescence. The author appears to be worried about two opposite problems: solar quiescence and solar activity.
 Note that the number of sunspots are increasing again, as predicted (about every eleven years),
which means the quiescence appears to have stopped, 
On Carbon-14
Gas flows away from the corona to form the solar wind
Carbon-14 would have long ago vanished from Earth were it not for the unremitting cosmic ray impacts on nitrogen in the Earth's atmosphere, which create more of the isotope.
Reduced solar wind increases cosmic ray concentration; ie, solar wind blows away the cosmic rays.
Atmospheric C14 reached a peak in 1965
The following web site shows real time solar wind speed; discusses solar wind, sunspot numbers, and cosmic rays.
Solar wind needs to be at least 250 km/sec to deflect cosmic rays.
On March 18 2010,  solar wind speed was 400 km/sec; Chart of cosmic ray activity showed a gradual increase into 2009, but then a drop in 2010.
Conclusion:  The activity on other planets is interesting, but the arguments proposed at Above Top Secret, and the pay for view website, noted above, which hint at catastrophe, do not seem very convincing.